Some months ago I predicted (by letter to the editor of the Santa Barbara News-Press) that there will be an "October surprise" in 2004, not, as some suggest, the declaration of a new war by Bush, but rather the declaration of "victory" in Iraq, complete with brass-band return of the bulk of our troops and Bush's flag-draped reception of them at Andrews AFB (or wherever). Okay, no big deal you say, because such a prospect has already been floated by others (after I did, however).
Well, what about this one? In July 2004 VP Cheney will announce that for health reasons (or something) he won't be on Bush's ticket after all. This will divert attention from the mid-summer Democratic Convention while the "search" for a substitute ensues, and will have the effect of enlivening the Bush/? ticket with a new face, which, by then, they will surely need.
Inevitable once one considers it, right?
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